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2009/10/18 20：42
Washington Report by Yoshiki Hidaka on '09 Oct. 18th
Will the Hatoyama Administration be able to change U.S.-Japan relation?
- Interviewer: Yoshiki Hidaka, Researcher of Hudson Institute
: >"Kenneth R. Weinstein", the CEO of Hudson Institute
- Interviewee: >"Kurt M. Campbell", Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs
As newly emerged the DPJ-led Hatoyama Administration declared to take distance from the U.S., it jolted both Japan and the U.S., ref.(>"Beginning of the Hatoyama Administration")
But the degree of crisis of military conditions surrounding Japan is deepening as the result of rapid military expansion by China and nuclear ballistic missile development by North Korea.
Will the Hatoyama Administration be able to take distance from the U.S. while depending on the U.S. totally regarding to the national security.
Let's interview Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Dr. Kurt M. Campbell, about the future prospect of U.S-Japan relation from now on.
1st. Section. Military & political conditions surrounding Japan
- China's power and influence is rising dramatically.
- There is a concern that combat capability of U.S navy would shrink in the future.
- In the latest summit meeting, U.S.-Japan cooperative structure was re-confirmed.
For your ref.>China rising while Japan declining
2nd. Section. Will U.S. forces leave Japan?
- Facing new military threat up, the U.S. is diversifying and re-deploying U.S. forces.
- China is beefing such as missiles up, and developing offensive weapons toward cyber and satellite.
- The U.S. and Japan must cooperate well, and prepare for new threat.
For your ref.>US 7th fleet receives a sailing order -- going on board of USS Blue Ridge, LCC-19
>ENVIRONMENT, IN MANY WAYS, ALIEN TO NEW BASE. Clock ticking on base, its delicate environment
3rd. Section. When U.S. forces stationing in South Korea leave there
- If touching on withdrawal of U.S. forces stationing in South Korea, it would send wrong signal to North Korea.
- Although it is true that North Korea demands withdrawal of U.S. forces stationing in South Korea, the U.S. has no intention to cope with that.
- The Obama Administration intends to settle North Korea's nuclear issue via 6-party talk.
For your ref.>A bombing plan against North Korea
4th. Section. What's the Obama Administration
- U.S President Barack Obama has been struggling to deal with both foreign and domestic issues.
- When it comes to foreign affairs, Afghanistan conditions is deteriorating day after day.
- If U.S forces is defeated and forced to withdraw from Afghanistan, U.S. face and prestige will collapse.
- When it comes to domestic issues, the most crucial problem is economy.
- Mr. Obama is struggling to improve U.S. economy.
- Although authority succeeded to avoid perfect depression via massive spending of public fund, fiscal debts is mounting as its side effect.
- In order to finance indispensable fund, there is no way for Washington but depending on China to purchase Treasury Bond.
- The problem is, as the result, Washington comes to feel deep indebtedness to China.
- Mr. Obama advocated the extinction of the nuclear weapon in his proud speech, then won 2009 Novel Peace Prize.
- But as the result, Mr. Obama is considered to be a president who doesn't battle.
- Indeed, Col. Qadhafi of Libya -- who was wounded and killed his some family members via U.S. air strike -- said in NY that he want Mr. Obama to be U.S. President eternally.
Comment;
U.S. President Barack Obama won the 2009 Novel Peace Prize due to his declaration to seek nuclear-bomb free world, ref.(>"Barack Obama and the Nobel peace prize, Even greater expectations")
Following his winning the prize, it seemed that Japan fell into unconditional rollick, ref.(>"Nobel invests hope in leadership")
Even mayors of Hiroshima- and Nagasaki-city showed grotesque attitude via announcing candidacy for co-hosting the 2020 Summer Olympics Game.
Even the Tokyo Governor Mr. Shintaro Ishihara supported their daydream, ref.(>"Ishihara endorses A-bomb cities for Olympics")
It seems that Mr. Ishihara -- who was defeated in his hope to host the 2016 Summer Olympics -- doesn't know the words of "learning lesson," ref.(>"Olympics heading for Rio")
What is he thinking about his responsibility on wasting taxpayers' money of approx. \15 billion in his dull idea?
As a matter of fact, they received negative response from one of the International Olympic Committee executives, ref.(>"A-bomb cities shrug off cold IOC response")
Mr. Obama's winning Novel Peace Prize has nothing to do with Hiroshima and Nagasaki even though both cities experienced disastrous A-bombings.
It seems that they misunderstand that if only they hope to realize nuclear weapon free world, it will come true.
As a Japanese nationals, I sincerely expect such kind of daydream believers not to continue being shameful.
To begin with, Mr. Obama's winning prize receives negative response from his home country due to his lack of concrete results for the sake of world peace.
Indeed, as far as I remember, nobody won this prize due to his or her rhetoric and eloquence alone without actual achievement.
In addition, I have heard that many Americans have antipathy toward Novel peace prize as they consider that to be hypocrisy by Europeans, ref.(>"From the archive, Our man for the Nobel")
In this meaning, "European Hypocrisy" could not help Mr. Obama but rather frustrate him.
Following this award, will Mr. Obama be able to execute "mini-surge" in Afghanistan? Ref.(>"The Afghan conditions; getting worse")
Here, we should note that Mr. Obama is losing public support gradually due to various domestic politics, ref.(>"Health reform in America, Don't ask how much" & "Gays in America, Gay icon?")
In my personal opinion, it would be almost impossible to recover U.S. general public support for Mr. Obama
Probably, Mr. Obama's political resources will decline gradually, moderately but continuously.
For your ref.>How deep President Obama can be believed?
- 5th. Section. Will U.S.-Japan relation change?
- Even though there was a concern, they understood each other via summit meeting.
- East Asia alliance without the U.S. isn't tolerable.
- It is most favorable that U.S.-Japan Security Pact is continued as it is now.
Comment;
It is an undeniable fact that newly assumed Prime Minister Mr. Yukio Hatoyama has tendency to be anti-U.S. and pro-Asia, I mean pro-China thinking.
At the same time, it seems to me that Mr. Obama has neither knowledge nor interests about Japan. Mr. Obama makes much of China rather than Japan.
To begin with, Mr. Obama prioritize the Middle East measures such as Iraq, Afghanistan, Israel and Palestine rather than Asia.
At the same time, the Hatoyama Administration will halt fuel-recharging mission by MSDF vessels in the Indian Ocean to cooperate with the U.S. in its anti-terror mission.
It is concerned that this decision could deteriorate the bilateral relation.
In addition, there is no sign about relocation issue of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, ref.(>"Congress moves forward on Futenma relocation") Regarding this issue, the Hatoyama Administration is drifting.
So we can't say two leaders understood each other via once and short summit meeting. That is nothing more than diplomatic language.
Even though, it is too early to judge future prospect of U.S.-Japan relation. No matter his personal opinion and ideology, "flattering to the U.S." is absolute national policy since the end of the WW2.
For the sake of Japan's national interests, Mr. Hatoyama is expected "a man of virtue sudden change" as some well-read persons argue.
For your ref.>Mr. Obama's new Asia-Pacific strategy
"Return to the top"
0
- Interviewer: Yoshiki Hidaka, Researcher of Hudson Institute
: >"Kenneth R. Weinstein", the CEO of Hudson Institute
- Interviewee: >"Kurt M. Campbell", Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs
As newly emerged the DPJ-led Hatoyama Administration declared to take distance from the U.S., it jolted both Japan and the U.S., ref.(>"Beginning of the Hatoyama Administration")
But the degree of crisis of military conditions surrounding Japan is deepening as the result of rapid military expansion by China and nuclear ballistic missile development by North Korea.
Will the Hatoyama Administration be able to take distance from the U.S. while depending on the U.S. totally regarding to the national security.
Let's interview Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Dr. Kurt M. Campbell, about the future prospect of U.S-Japan relation from now on.
1st. Section. Military & political conditions surrounding Japan
- China's power and influence is rising dramatically.
- There is a concern that combat capability of U.S navy would shrink in the future.
- In the latest summit meeting, U.S.-Japan cooperative structure was re-confirmed.
For your ref.>China rising while Japan declining
2nd. Section. Will U.S. forces leave Japan?
- Facing new military threat up, the U.S. is diversifying and re-deploying U.S. forces.
- China is beefing such as missiles up, and developing offensive weapons toward cyber and satellite.
- The U.S. and Japan must cooperate well, and prepare for new threat.
For your ref.>US 7th fleet receives a sailing order -- going on board of USS Blue Ridge, LCC-19
>ENVIRONMENT, IN MANY WAYS, ALIEN TO NEW BASE. Clock ticking on base, its delicate environment
3rd. Section. When U.S. forces stationing in South Korea leave there
- If touching on withdrawal of U.S. forces stationing in South Korea, it would send wrong signal to North Korea.
- Although it is true that North Korea demands withdrawal of U.S. forces stationing in South Korea, the U.S. has no intention to cope with that.
- The Obama Administration intends to settle North Korea's nuclear issue via 6-party talk.
For your ref.>A bombing plan against North Korea
4th. Section. What's the Obama Administration
- U.S President Barack Obama has been struggling to deal with both foreign and domestic issues.
- When it comes to foreign affairs, Afghanistan conditions is deteriorating day after day.
- If U.S forces is defeated and forced to withdraw from Afghanistan, U.S. face and prestige will collapse.
- When it comes to domestic issues, the most crucial problem is economy.
- Mr. Obama is struggling to improve U.S. economy.
- Although authority succeeded to avoid perfect depression via massive spending of public fund, fiscal debts is mounting as its side effect.
- In order to finance indispensable fund, there is no way for Washington but depending on China to purchase Treasury Bond.
- The problem is, as the result, Washington comes to feel deep indebtedness to China.
- Mr. Obama advocated the extinction of the nuclear weapon in his proud speech, then won 2009 Novel Peace Prize.
- But as the result, Mr. Obama is considered to be a president who doesn't battle.
- Indeed, Col. Qadhafi of Libya -- who was wounded and killed his some family members via U.S. air strike -- said in NY that he want Mr. Obama to be U.S. President eternally.
Comment;
U.S. President Barack Obama won the 2009 Novel Peace Prize due to his declaration to seek nuclear-bomb free world, ref.(>"Barack Obama and the Nobel peace prize, Even greater expectations")
Following his winning the prize, it seemed that Japan fell into unconditional rollick, ref.(>"Nobel invests hope in leadership")
Even mayors of Hiroshima- and Nagasaki-city showed grotesque attitude via announcing candidacy for co-hosting the 2020 Summer Olympics Game.
Even the Tokyo Governor Mr. Shintaro Ishihara supported their daydream, ref.(>"Ishihara endorses A-bomb cities for Olympics")
It seems that Mr. Ishihara -- who was defeated in his hope to host the 2016 Summer Olympics -- doesn't know the words of "learning lesson," ref.(>"Olympics heading for Rio")
What is he thinking about his responsibility on wasting taxpayers' money of approx. \15 billion in his dull idea?
As a matter of fact, they received negative response from one of the International Olympic Committee executives, ref.(>"A-bomb cities shrug off cold IOC response")
Mr. Obama's winning Novel Peace Prize has nothing to do with Hiroshima and Nagasaki even though both cities experienced disastrous A-bombings.
It seems that they misunderstand that if only they hope to realize nuclear weapon free world, it will come true.
As a Japanese nationals, I sincerely expect such kind of daydream believers not to continue being shameful.
To begin with, Mr. Obama's winning prize receives negative response from his home country due to his lack of concrete results for the sake of world peace.
Indeed, as far as I remember, nobody won this prize due to his or her rhetoric and eloquence alone without actual achievement.
In addition, I have heard that many Americans have antipathy toward Novel peace prize as they consider that to be hypocrisy by Europeans, ref.(>"From the archive, Our man for the Nobel")
In this meaning, "European Hypocrisy" could not help Mr. Obama but rather frustrate him.
Following this award, will Mr. Obama be able to execute "mini-surge" in Afghanistan? Ref.(>"The Afghan conditions; getting worse")
Here, we should note that Mr. Obama is losing public support gradually due to various domestic politics, ref.(>"Health reform in America, Don't ask how much" & "Gays in America, Gay icon?")
In my personal opinion, it would be almost impossible to recover U.S. general public support for Mr. Obama
Probably, Mr. Obama's political resources will decline gradually, moderately but continuously.
For your ref.>How deep President Obama can be believed?
- 5th. Section. Will U.S.-Japan relation change?
- Even though there was a concern, they understood each other via summit meeting.
- East Asia alliance without the U.S. isn't tolerable.
- It is most favorable that U.S.-Japan Security Pact is continued as it is now.
Comment;
It is an undeniable fact that newly assumed Prime Minister Mr. Yukio Hatoyama has tendency to be anti-U.S. and pro-Asia, I mean pro-China thinking.
At the same time, it seems to me that Mr. Obama has neither knowledge nor interests about Japan. Mr. Obama makes much of China rather than Japan.
To begin with, Mr. Obama prioritize the Middle East measures such as Iraq, Afghanistan, Israel and Palestine rather than Asia.
At the same time, the Hatoyama Administration will halt fuel-recharging mission by MSDF vessels in the Indian Ocean to cooperate with the U.S. in its anti-terror mission.
It is concerned that this decision could deteriorate the bilateral relation.
In addition, there is no sign about relocation issue of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, ref.(>"Congress moves forward on Futenma relocation") Regarding this issue, the Hatoyama Administration is drifting.
So we can't say two leaders understood each other via once and short summit meeting. That is nothing more than diplomatic language.
Even though, it is too early to judge future prospect of U.S.-Japan relation. No matter his personal opinion and ideology, "flattering to the U.S." is absolute national policy since the end of the WW2.
For the sake of Japan's national interests, Mr. Hatoyama is expected "a man of virtue sudden change" as some well-read persons argue.
For your ref.>Mr. Obama's new Asia-Pacific strategy
"Return to the top"
0
