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2009/11/20 1：43
Burst of "Obama Bubble"
It is an unwritten rule that the general public and mass communication refrain to criticize a new administration harshly just after 100-day of assumption.
For the Obama Administration, this so called "honeymoon" term already over.
According to some recent public opinion surveys, public approval rate of US President Barack Obama lowered around 50% threshold, ref.(>"「内憂外患」のオバマ米大統領 = 国民に焦燥感、支持率低下 -- 歴史的勝利から１年" & "オバマ大統領の支持率、初めて 50%割り込む")
After all, Mr. Obama got a seat of US president due to unpopularity of his predecessor -- George W. Bush -- and his excelled eloquence.
Secretary of State Ms. Hillary R Clinton criticized Mr. Obama in the preliminary election of the Democrats that "he lacks experience." Now, it is almost obvious that she was right.
It seemed that the general public elected Mr. Obama due to euphoria without calm and rational evaluation of his potential and capability.
In other words, the result of the presidential election isn't "the Democrats got a win" but "the Republican suffered a loss."
The most significant phenomenon that represents vanish of the Obama magic is the results of the recent local elections in that the Republican beat the Democrats.
Although Mr. Obama supported Democrats candidates in the state governor elections in Virginia and New Jersey, he failed to ignite enthusiasm, ref.(>"Local elections in America, An electoral test")
The victory in upstate New York in the congressional election wasn't exactly a victory of the Democrats but a suicide of the Rebplicans, ref.(>"American elections, The shine coming off")
There are some reasons that are eroding Mr. Obama's popularity. First, his awkward management of the financial crisis due to subprime fiasco just after his assumption.
Substantially speaking, whole of that wasn't his responsibility because he merely inherited that from his predecessor George W. Bush.
Anyway, it is usual, especially in democratic system, that a general public irrationally expect their leader to settle any kind of issues neatly, orderly and promptly.
Especially, as Mr. Obama is US president that he should soulder excessive expectation from the general public.
As a matter of course, it is impossible for Mr. Obama who doesn't have a magig wand to meet such kind of excessive expectation.
Taking seriousness of the financial crisis into consideration, it was impossible to settle financial crisis so promptly and smartly to begin with.
In addition, Mr. Obama isn't an expert of financial business. But as Mr. Obama is a US president that it is his fate to be expected as almighty.
As the result, the general public start to criticize Mr. Obama neglecting their own responsibility to elected Mr. Bush in 2000 and 2004.
Second, Mr. Obama is a supreme commander of U.S military forces. The general public has excessive expectation for Mr. Bailey to settle U.S. two wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
It was critical mistake to be considered as a "weak-kneed guy" in the presidential election. The general public expect their leader to be "tough."
So Mr. Obama made a election pledge to execute "surge" in Afghanistan while he pledged to withdraw from Iraq ASAP.
But Afghan conditions is deteriorating day after day, ref.(>"The Afghan conditions; getting worse")
In addition, they are forced to realize that it is impossible to transplant western style democracy there at least for the time being.
Some are even concerning that "Afghanistan for Mr. Obama could be Vietnam for late US president John F. Kennedy, Lyndon B. Johnson and Richard M. Nixon," ref.(>"Obama's Vietnam syndrome")
As the result, support for "surge" among the general public is declining, ref.(>"Afghanistan's anti-corruption drive, Taming the mafia state" & "アフガンへの増派、米国民の意見が二分＝世論調査")
Further more, the more criticism against his Afghan policy rises, the more general public approval rate for himself decline.
Third, his China policy is also a target of criticism from both anti-communism conservatives and human-right conscious liberals.
Indeed, it is obvious that the U.S. feels deep indebtedness to China. The reason is really easy -- the U.S. needs to be purchased Treasury Bond by China.
Namely, the Obama Administration can't be helped but to show consideration to China, ref.(>"Solid foundation for U.S., China" & "America & China, Pleased to meet you")
But the general public interprete that to be weakness of their president.
Same can be said about his bow to the Japan's Emperor although it was nothing more than diplomatic etiquette, ref.(>"U.S. conservatives: Obama bowed too deeply to Emperor")
As a Japanese, it is a honorable scene for me. But at the same time I have to admit that it has no practical meaning. After all, Japan is a puppet of the U.S. in practical meaning.
But anti-Obama Americans -- namely racists or conservatives -- are usually doing faultfinding to criticize him.
At last but not least, Mr. Obama hitherto has failed to create jobs. On the other hand, unemployment ratio in the U.S. has been rising since his assumption.
Although some argue that U.S. economy has already hit a bottom, full-scale recovery isn't plausible unless employment conditions turn around.
The more expectation is high, the more disappointment is deep when expectation was betrayed. The general approval rates for Mr. Obama will continue to decline in my opinion.
0
For the Obama Administration, this so called "honeymoon" term already over.
According to some recent public opinion surveys, public approval rate of US President Barack Obama lowered around 50% threshold, ref.(>"「内憂外患」のオバマ米大統領 = 国民に焦燥感、支持率低下 -- 歴史的勝利から１年" & "オバマ大統領の支持率、初めて 50%割り込む")
After all, Mr. Obama got a seat of US president due to unpopularity of his predecessor -- George W. Bush -- and his excelled eloquence.
Secretary of State Ms. Hillary R Clinton criticized Mr. Obama in the preliminary election of the Democrats that "he lacks experience." Now, it is almost obvious that she was right.
It seemed that the general public elected Mr. Obama due to euphoria without calm and rational evaluation of his potential and capability.
In other words, the result of the presidential election isn't "the Democrats got a win" but "the Republican suffered a loss."
The most significant phenomenon that represents vanish of the Obama magic is the results of the recent local elections in that the Republican beat the Democrats.
Although Mr. Obama supported Democrats candidates in the state governor elections in Virginia and New Jersey, he failed to ignite enthusiasm, ref.(>"Local elections in America, An electoral test")
The victory in upstate New York in the congressional election wasn't exactly a victory of the Democrats but a suicide of the Rebplicans, ref.(>"American elections, The shine coming off")
There are some reasons that are eroding Mr. Obama's popularity. First, his awkward management of the financial crisis due to subprime fiasco just after his assumption.
Substantially speaking, whole of that wasn't his responsibility because he merely inherited that from his predecessor George W. Bush.
Anyway, it is usual, especially in democratic system, that a general public irrationally expect their leader to settle any kind of issues neatly, orderly and promptly.
Especially, as Mr. Obama is US president that he should soulder excessive expectation from the general public.
As a matter of course, it is impossible for Mr. Obama who doesn't have a magig wand to meet such kind of excessive expectation.
Taking seriousness of the financial crisis into consideration, it was impossible to settle financial crisis so promptly and smartly to begin with.
In addition, Mr. Obama isn't an expert of financial business. But as Mr. Obama is a US president that it is his fate to be expected as almighty.
As the result, the general public start to criticize Mr. Obama neglecting their own responsibility to elected Mr. Bush in 2000 and 2004.
Second, Mr. Obama is a supreme commander of U.S military forces. The general public has excessive expectation for Mr. Bailey to settle U.S. two wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
It was critical mistake to be considered as a "weak-kneed guy" in the presidential election. The general public expect their leader to be "tough."
So Mr. Obama made a election pledge to execute "surge" in Afghanistan while he pledged to withdraw from Iraq ASAP.
But Afghan conditions is deteriorating day after day, ref.(>"The Afghan conditions; getting worse")
In addition, they are forced to realize that it is impossible to transplant western style democracy there at least for the time being.
Some are even concerning that "Afghanistan for Mr. Obama could be Vietnam for late US president John F. Kennedy, Lyndon B. Johnson and Richard M. Nixon," ref.(>"Obama's Vietnam syndrome")
As the result, support for "surge" among the general public is declining, ref.(>"Afghanistan's anti-corruption drive, Taming the mafia state" & "アフガンへの増派、米国民の意見が二分＝世論調査")
Further more, the more criticism against his Afghan policy rises, the more general public approval rate for himself decline.
Third, his China policy is also a target of criticism from both anti-communism conservatives and human-right conscious liberals.
Indeed, it is obvious that the U.S. feels deep indebtedness to China. The reason is really easy -- the U.S. needs to be purchased Treasury Bond by China.
Namely, the Obama Administration can't be helped but to show consideration to China, ref.(>"Solid foundation for U.S., China" & "America & China, Pleased to meet you")
But the general public interprete that to be weakness of their president.
Same can be said about his bow to the Japan's Emperor although it was nothing more than diplomatic etiquette, ref.(>"U.S. conservatives: Obama bowed too deeply to Emperor")
As a Japanese, it is a honorable scene for me. But at the same time I have to admit that it has no practical meaning. After all, Japan is a puppet of the U.S. in practical meaning.
But anti-Obama Americans -- namely racists or conservatives -- are usually doing faultfinding to criticize him.
At last but not least, Mr. Obama hitherto has failed to create jobs. On the other hand, unemployment ratio in the U.S. has been rising since his assumption.
Although some argue that U.S. economy has already hit a bottom, full-scale recovery isn't plausible unless employment conditions turn around.
The more expectation is high, the more disappointment is deep when expectation was betrayed. The general approval rates for Mr. Obama will continue to decline in my opinion.
0
